Developing Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) would substantially increase U.S. crude oil and natural gas production after 2030. The state of Alaska holds an estimated 36 billion barrels of crude oil and 137 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, so after the Trump administration lifted an ANWR drilling moratorium in December 2017, wildcatters are rushing north to tap America’s Arctic resources.
Risk of a trade war with China is affecting U.S. President Trump’s homeland, after China threatened to levy tariffs on imports of crude oil, natural gas and refined products from the United States. If imposed, these tariffs would be a big deal given that China just emerged as the largest importer of U.S. crude oil and a key LNG offtaker.
Dry natural gas production in the United States is about to reach a fresh record of 81 Bcf per day, spurring LNG export growth and pushing down prices this year. According to the U.S. Energy Agency (EIA), Henry Hub prices are forecast to average $2.99/MMBtu for the full year 2018, but notch up to $3.08/MMBtu in 2019.
Competition in the U.S. power market keeps heating up with marketers supplying about 21% of retail electricity sold, up from just 11% in 2005. Investor-owned utilities, in contrast, lost market share from 62% in 2005 to currently just above 52%. According to EIA analysts, this shift was driven by the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which closed the original federal regulatory structure established by New Deal-era legislation.
Southern California Gas Company (SoCalGas) and Aliso Canyon Technical Assessment Group have both voiced concerns that regional natural gas infrastructure issues in Southern California could affect electricity reliability this summer. Should these bottlenecks result in lower gas inflows into storage, there is a risk of significantly reduced gas availability in the upcoming winter.
June 8 – For electricity, the number of end-uses estimated in the EIA’s Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) has expanded from 4 to 26 by adding estimates for various types of equipment. Itemized estimates collectively cover 87% of residential electricity use.
Deployment of large-scale battery storage is rapidly increasing across the United States, but capital costs of energy storage systems vary greatly, dependent on the technology uses. Energy-oriented batteries systems, used for peakload shaving, are designed for longer durations and consequently have higher average costs per kilowatt and lower costs per kilowatthour. This type is mostly used in the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) area.
Fossil fuel consumption in the U.S. power sector has fallen to a 23-year record low with a slightly offsetting increase in the use of natural gas, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) finds. Overall fossil fuel-burn for power generation fell to 22.5 quadrillion British thermal units (quads) in 2017, the lowest level since 1994.
The hype about electric car is not really translating into sales. Hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid electric, and battery electric vehicles have been sold in the United States as alternatives to conventional gasoline vehicles for a number of years, but their market share from 2012 through 2017 remained below 4% of total light-duty vehicle sales, even as the number of available models increased from 58 to nearly a hundred.
Mexico, the largest buyer of US pipeline gas and LNG, is preparing a tender for strategic storage at depleted oil and gas reservoirs. Cenagas, the Mexican National Natural Gas Control Centre, has already selected four underground sites – Acuyo, Brasil, Jaf and Saramako – from a list of 15 proposed sites. Registering strong bidding interest from foreign players, the Mexican Energy Secretariat (Sener) will hold the tender in September 2018.