Daily News

The Indian government in Delhi needs to give hydrocarbon developers more freedom on gas pricing in order to incentivise production in less explored basins, Wood Mackenzie’s Asia office recommends. The removal of multiple pricing regimes that are currently in place across India will also help drive greater use of gas in the industrial and power sector.

Published in Markets
Wednesday, 23 August 2017

Oil price seen rebound toward $60/bbl

Aug 23 – Oil pricing dynamics will increase, through near-term $50-60 range, forecasts Wood Mackenzie principal analyst, Patrick Kirby. For olefins, and polyolefins, this means the global and particularly European view is sensitive to demand, particularly from China, given that the supply landscape is well defined.

Published in Brief news

Driven by falling costs, increasing investor confidence and policy support, renewable power and decarbonisation technologies are reshaping global energy markets. In Wood Mackenzie and GTM Research’s latest report ‘Future of renewables: a radical disruption,’ over 21% of all cars on the road are estimated to be electric by 2035 under the carbon-constrained scenario. Such a stark shift to EVs can displace up to 6.5 million barrels of oil demand.

Published in Markets

Falling costs for renewables and energy storage will squeeze out gas-fired generation in South Australia as early as 2025, Wood Mackenzie and GTM Research find. By then, wind, solar and battery costs are seen decline by 15%, 25% and 50% respectively – hence they offer a “lower cost alternative” to CCGTs, which cover the bulk of South Australia’s base load power today.

Published in Markets

Top forecasters anticipate energy demand growth through 2035, but projections on rates and market size vary significantly between Wood Mackenzie’s 'Energy View to 2035' and similar outlooks by BP, ExxonMobil (XOM) or the IEA’s New Policies Scenario. Outlooks broadly agree on which fuels will win or lose across Asia Pacific: Coal is seen static across all forecasts, backed out by gas, nuclear and renewables, although WoodMac’s projection is highest on gas growth.

Published in Markets

Asian investors used to pour over $20 billion into US Lower 48 assets in the period 2010-13, mostly in shale plays – but this cashflow dried up some three years ago and has become “negligible,” particularly on the Permian tight oil play. Wood Mackenzie says this trend is about to change, anticipating some of Asia's largest upstream players “wish to diversify and grow production.”

Published in Markets

The role of regasified LNG in balancing Brazil’s power sector is set to rise as it becomes more difficult to add large-scale hydro projects. Most new projects are run of the river rather than large reservoirs which allow for less storage and flexibility. Developers of LNG-to-power plants are hesitant amid uncertainty over runtime hours and future power auction rules.

Published in Markets

Chinese NOCs are assessing how best to optimise their supply portfolios as gas demand 'disappoints' and oversupplied markets have led to weaker prices, particularly for LNG spot deliveries. Wood Mackenzie now expects China's gas demand growth will reach 360 bcm and 560 bcm in 2020 and 2030, respectively, down from earlier estimates of 420 bcm and 640 bcm.

Published in Markets

Keen to overcome South Africa's worst electricity crisis since 2008, the government is about to launch a tender for gas-fired power stations that will run on imported LNG, in the coming weeks. If successful, Wood Mackenzie believes the IPP programmes will serve to diversify South Africa's power supply mix away from coal and significantly increase competition.

Published in Markets

Coal has been the fuel of choice in Asia since 2010, even in the gas-centric power markets of South-East Asia. Though coal may well remain the most economical option for generating electricity, downward pressure on gas prices and public urge to curb air pollution help gas compete with coal in the region, Wood Mackenzie says.

Published in Markets
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News in Brief

Dong to remotely operate UK peaking plants

Oct 17 – Denmark’s Dong Energy has agreed with GAM Capital and its project development arm in the UK, Gas Power Developments, to manage the remote control and market optimization of three 6 MW gas power stations. The three gas peaking plants are Prestige House, Newhouse and Clay Flatts, located in Lancashire and Cumbria.

'Generation Energy' debate launched in Canada

Oct 16 – ‘Generation Energy’ has been kickstarted at a forum in Winnipag as a society-wide debate on the pathways to an affordable, low-carbon energy future for Canada. The share of renewables in Canada’s power mix exceeded 65% last year, with 90% of the total derived from hydropower. Prior to the event, Canada’s Minister of Natural Resources Jim Carr met bilaterally with IEA head Dr Fatih Birol to provide input to Canada’s Presidency of the G7 in 2018.

MHPS starts manufacturing turbines in Dammam

Oct 13 – MHPS Saudi Arabia, a subsidiary of Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems, has opened its new Turbine Rotor Repair Facility in Dammam today. The Japanese manufacturer announced plans to plans to manufacture its most advanced gas turbines in the Saudi kingdom, and use the new facility to service compressors and turbines used in petroleum and chemical plants.

Azura-Edo IPP to startup 8 months early

Oct 12 – Azura Power Holdings has announced that its 450 MW Auzura-Edo Independent Power Project (IPP) will be ready to start operations eight months ahead of schedule. First fire is planned in December this year, for commissioning to be finalised for a start-up in May 2018.

Evaluating GT owners take on dry air injection

Oct 11 – Sargent & Lundy has been hired by gas turbine (GT) owners to analyze the impact of Turbophase dry air injection system at different site conditions. Turbophase installed on multiple gas turbine frames over the past years, clocking up thousands of run-time hours.

Gas turbine market tops $24bn by 2022

Oct 10 – The global market for gas turbine is growing at an annual rate of 5.3% to reach $24.12 billion by 2020, according to htfmarketreport. Increasing demand distributed power generation, technology advancement, and more stringent regulations on carbon emissions are fuelling the market growth.

Trump nominates pro-coal lawyer as EPA deputy

Oct 9 – US President Donald Trump has nominated Andrew R. Wheeler, a lawyer whose clients include the coal mining firm Murry Energy, as the deputy administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Wheeler opposes Obama’s Clean Power Plan and supported the US coal industry’s opposition to the Paris Climate Agreement.

Tokyo Engineering to finish new Azeri CCGT by May 2018

Oct 6 – Japan’s Tokyo Engineering Corp is building a new combined-cycle gas power unit at the Shimal power plant in Baku. The 409-MW unit is schedule to start full commercial operation in May 2018. Project costs, estimated to exceed $330 million, are partly covered by a $275 million loan from the Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC).

Spain’s gas demand up 13% in September

Oct 5 – Demand for natural gas in Spain has increased by 13% to 26,153 GWh in September, the highest level in the past five years. Gas-burn in the power sector was up 44% month-on-month, reaching 7,085 GWh.

Capstone to deliver C1000s to Italy

Oct 4 – Capstone Turbine Corp has received an order for a C1000 Signature Series microturbine to provide combined cooling, heat and power (CCHP) for a large cured meat company in Veneto, Italy. IBT Group, Capstone’s Italian distributor, secured the order for the plant, which is due to be commissioned in early 2018.

Marubeni invests in biomass co-fired plant

Oct 3 – Marubeni Thermal Power has signed a shareholder agreement with Tokuyama and Tokyo Century Corp to invest in the latter’s the construction and operation of a biomass co-firing power project in Shunan City. Preparation for construction works are getting underway this month, for a start of commercial operation in 2022.

Puerto Rico powered by fuel oil in the wake of Hurricane Maria

Oct 2 – Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) is busy trying to restart power plants as well as transmission and distribution lines after Hurricane Maria hit the island earlier this month. In the absence of firm natural gas supply, PREA turned to Puma Energy to purchase fuel oil for emergency power generators.

Wärtsilä helps boost offgrid power in India

Sept 29 – Wärtsilä’s Indian office is supporting Arkay Energy (Rameswarm) to boost electrical output and productivity of its 150 MW baseload power plant in Ramanathapuram, Tamil Nadu, in southern India. An O&M deal for the plant's 16 Wärtsilä 34SG engines was renewed in June 2017 for another five years.

GE builds Turkey’s largest generator transformer at Gebze

Sept 28 – TERNA, the construction arm of GEK TERNA Group, has asked GE to manufacture what will become the Turkey’s largest generator transformer. The 820 MVA is being built in Gebze and scheduled for completion in mid-2018, when it will be installed at the Ptolemais power plant in Greece.

PowerLink IP launched

Sept 27 – Siemens has launched PowerLink IP, a power line carrier (PLC) for digital high-voltage substations. It uses the high-voltage lines between the substations as a channel by overlaying a modulated carrier frequency on the frequency of the transmission voltage in the overhead lines.

Hyundai wins 1st EPC contract in Nigeria

Sept 26 – Kingline Development Nigeria has awarded a $330 million contract to Hyundai Engineering to carry out a engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) for a power plant in Ondo, Nigeria. The 550 MW simple-cycle gas power plant will be Hyundai’s first EPC project in Nigeria, the South Korean company said. The Ondo OCGT will be built some 170km northeast of Lagos.

Australia: Cap on LNG exports looms large

Sept 26 – Santos, Shell and ConocoPhillips face restrictions on exporting liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Australia’s east coast in 2018 if they fail to prevent a projected 17% shortfall in domestic supply. Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull said he would press the east coast LNG exporters to plug the 110 petajoules supply gap.