The introduction of a carbon floor price under Britain's Electricity Market Reform (EMR) is estimated to make natural gas catch-up with coal in terms of profitability. "Using our forward-price assumption for coal, gas-fired generation and coal-fired generation are very nearly on equal footing in the April 2015 timeframe in the UK," Deutsche Bank forecast today.
Coal-fired power plants will continue to be the mainstay for India's power generation, despite growing demand for natural gas, consultant Anand Sharma told 'Gas to Power Journal' today.
"Gas prices are rising in tandem with shrinking domestic supplies and costs are prohibitive for importing [large volumes of] gas through pipeline or in LNG ships," Sharma said, who is the director of Mumbai-based Mantrana Maritime Advisory that also tracks power utilities.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has examined 29 alternate scenarios for the future U.S. energy market in its Annual Energy Outlook 2012 (AEO2012). In the EIA reference case scenario, the share of gas-fired power generation is forecast to rise from 24 percent in 2010 to 28 percent in 2035. "Uncertainty is inherent in long-term projections," EIA Administrator Adam Sieminski said when unveiling report.
Turkey has been an island of high energy demand in Europe, with electricity demand growing by just under 6% in Turkey in 2000-2007, compared to 2% in OECD Europe, Alexander Antonyuk, Energy Analyst at the International Energy Agency (IEA) said today.
"Turkey was one of the countries where power demand recovered fasted from the recession," he said cautioning that electricity demand growth has slowed down to 4.5% over the past two years. "This recent dip is mainly due to lower demand growth in energy-intensive industries," he told 'Gas to Power Journal' at the sidelines of a conference in Istanbul.
EnerjiSA, a Sabanci/Verbund joint venture, sees a growing need for LNG imports to Turkey as a flexible supply source of natural gas to underpin the growth of installed power generation capacity. "Gas-fired plants may well grow in number as LNG as a fuel is increasingly considered as an interim option by plant operators," Kivanc Zaimler, Commercial Director - Natural Gas, EnerjiSA said in Istanbul today.
The drop in LNG supply to Japan is negatively impacting on the utilisation of gas-fired power plants. „If we were to measure a 30 mcm/d fall in LNG supply against higher gas-fired generation in Japan, then the drop in LNG supply is equivalent to power generation from 7.3 GW of gas-fired capacity," Deutsche Bank analysts said.